BLACK · MASTER-1-30-34

Nelson Lay

Marcelino Freitas BJJ · 2–8 · 100% SUB

FIGHTER CARD · MONOGRAPH SERIES 01

№ 85188

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POWER LEVEL
1,503
RISING
RECORD
2–8
20% Win Rate
MEDALS
3
1🥇 2🥉
TOURNAMENTS
4
10 matches
OFFICIAL PROFILES AJP

PERFORMANCE PATTERNS

10 MATCHES ANALYZED
AM vs PM WIN RATE
20%AM2-80%PM0-0

Performs 20% better in morning brackets.

DAYS REST → WIN RATE
11%56d+

Win rate by days elapsed since previous event.

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FIGHTER ANALYTICS

4 TOURNAMENTS

MEDALS

3
MEDALS
across 4 tournaments
1 Gold
0 Silver
2 Bronze
25% Gold Rate

WHAT THIS MEANS 25% of 4 tournament entries resulted in gold.

FINISHING ABILITY

20% FROM
WINS
Submission 2
Points 0
Other 0
100% Sub Rate

WHAT THIS MEANS 2 of 2 wins came by submission.

POWER LEVEL RISING

1,503
Base 1500
Medals (2) +42
Matches (2W 8L) -40
Confidence 83%

HOW WE CALCULATE Cached v0.2 rating. 2 medals, 10 matches. Recomputed nightly. Weights account for federation tier (IBJJF/ADCC heavier than weekly local meets) and recency (last 12 months full weight, decaying to 0.4 at 36 months+).

BRACKET STYLE PERFORMANCE BY FORMAT

SINGLE ELIM 20% 2/10

WHAT THIS MEANS Round-robin formats give more matches but easier brackets; single-elim is one mistake from elimination. Compare to find their best stage.

RULESET ADAPTATION ACROSS POINT/SUB SYSTEMS

IBJJF POINTS 20% 2/10

WHAT THIS MEANS Win rate by ruleset. Top submission per ruleset hints at the athlete's go-to attack.

FEDERATION SPLIT 1 ORG

AJP 20% 2–8

WHAT THIS MEANS Win rates per federation. Need 3+ matches per org for a calibrated comparison.

TRAVEL IMPACT HOME vs AWAY

Home gym state unknown — travel split needs a gym on file.

WHAT THIS MEANS Home-state vs out-of-state win rate. Gym-distance buckets coming once gyms are geocoded.

RECORD SNAPSHOT

2–8
Tournaments4
Matches rated10 / 10
Medals3

FIGHTER HISTORY 10 matches

RESULT METHOD OPPONENT DIVISION TOURNAMENT FORMAT DATE
L POI Erdenebaatar Ulziitogtokh Men's GI / Black / Master 1 / 62KG # MAIN BRACKET (Day 2) Abu Dhabi World Masters Jiu-Jitsu Championship 2023 GI Nov 6, 2023
L SUB Yu Lin Men's GI / Black / Master 1 / 62KG # MAIN BRACKET (Day 2) Abu Dhabi World Masters Jiu-Jitsu Championship 2023 GI Nov 6, 2023
L POI Ryota Gomi Men's GI / Black / Master 1 / Featherweight (Under 62KG) (Saturday) Abu Dhabi Grand Slam Jiu-Jitsu World Tour 2023-2024 - Tokyo - Masters GI Jan 13, 2024
W SUB Hyunkak Kim Men's GI / Black / Master 1 / Featherweight (Under 62KG) (Saturday) Abu Dhabi Grand Slam Jiu-Jitsu World Tour 2023-2024 - Tokyo - Masters GI Jan 13, 2024
L SUB Tomoyuki Hashimoto Men's GI / Black / Master 1 / Featherweight (Under 62KG) (Saturday) Abu Dhabi Grand Slam Jiu-Jitsu World Tour 2023-2024 - Tokyo - Masters GI Jan 13, 2024
W SUB Kangjin Choi Men's GI / Black / Master 1 / Featherweight (Under 62KG) (Day 1) Abu Dhabi Grand Slam Jiu-Jitsu World Tour 2022-2023 - Sydney - Masters GI Feb 4, 2023
L POI Rodrigo Dos Santos Men's GI OPEN / Black / Master 1 / Heavyweight (-120KG) (Sunday) AJP Tour Newcastle International Jiu-Jitsu Championship 2024 - Gi & No-Gi GI Aug 4, 2024
L POI Vinicius Soares Men's GI OPEN / Black / Master 1 / Heavyweight (-120KG) (Sunday) AJP Tour Newcastle International Jiu-Jitsu Championship 2024 - Gi & No-Gi GI Aug 4, 2024
L SUB Raphael Pinheiro De Moraes Men's GI / Black / Master 1 / 77KG (Sunday) AJP Tour Newcastle International Jiu-Jitsu Championship 2024 - Gi & No-Gi GI Aug 4, 2024
L POI Vinicius Soares Men's GI / Black / Master 1 / 77KG (Sunday) AJP Tour Newcastle International Jiu-Jitsu Championship 2024 - Gi & No-Gi GI Aug 4, 2024

ABOUT

Nelson Lay is a black belt competitor from Marcelino Freitas BJJ in null, null with a 2–8 record across 4 tournaments and 3 medals (1 gold, 0 silver, 2 bronze). Submission specialist.

ADVANCED ANALYTICS

10 MATCHES · LIVE
FINISHING ABILITY 2WINS
100%SUB RATE
Sub 2 Pts 0 Adv 0 Dec 0
WIN RATE BY OPPONENT TIER 10RATED MATCHES
0%NOVICE0-020%CONTENDER2-80%PROSPECT0-00%ELITE0-00%APEX0-0
DAY OF WEEK · WIN RATE
SUN
0%
0-4
MON
0%
0-2
TUE
0-0
WED
0-0
THU
0-0
FRI
0-0
SAT
50%
2-2
CAREER TRAJECTORY · POWER LEVEL OVER TIME 1503NOW
FORMAT SPLIT
GI 20%10
NoGi 0%0