WHITE · ADULT-18-29

Aaron Rayburn

— · 17–3 · 65% SUB

FIGHTER CARD · MONOGRAPH SERIES 01

№ 1610517

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POWER LEVEL
1,804
PROSPECT
RECORD
17–3
85% Win Rate
MEDALS
5
2🥇 2🥈 1🥉
TOURNAMENTS
3
20 matches
OFFICIAL PROFILES Smoothcomp

PERFORMANCE PATTERNS

20 MATCHES ANALYZED
AM vs PM WIN RATE
0%AM0-085%PM17-3

Performs 85% better in afternoon brackets.

DAYS REST → WIN RATE
75%56d+

Win rate by days elapsed since previous event.

Are you this athlete? Log your training data to see how your sleep, fatigue, and recovery correlate with these results — private to you only.

FIGHTER ANALYTICS

3 TOURNAMENTS

MEDALS

5
MEDALS
across 3 tournaments
2 Gold
2 Silver
1 Bronze
67% Gold Rate

WHAT THIS MEANS 67% of 3 tournament entries resulted in gold.

FINISHING ABILITY

85% FROM
WINS
Submission 11
Points 4
Other 2
65% Sub Rate

WHAT THIS MEANS 11 of 17 wins came by submission.

POWER LEVEL PROSPECT

1,804
Base 1500
Medals (4) +140
Matches (17W 3L) +165
Confidence 100%

HOW WE CALCULATE Cached v0.2 rating. 4 medals, 20 matches. Recomputed nightly. Weights account for federation tier (IBJJF/ADCC heavier than weekly local meets) and recency (last 12 months full weight, decaying to 0.4 at 36 months+).

BRACKET STYLE PERFORMANCE BY FORMAT

SINGLE ELIM 85% 17/20

WHAT THIS MEANS Round-robin formats give more matches but easier brackets; single-elim is one mistake from elimination. Compare to find their best stage.

RULESET ADAPTATION ACROSS POINT/SUB SYSTEMS

IBJJF POINTS 85% 17/20

WHAT THIS MEANS Win rate by ruleset. Top submission per ruleset hints at the athlete's go-to attack.

FEDERATION SPLIT 1 ORG

FUJI 85% 17–3

WHAT THIS MEANS Win rates per federation. Need 3+ matches per org for a calibrated comparison.

TRAVEL IMPACT HOME vs AWAY

Home gym state unknown — travel split needs a gym on file.

WHAT THIS MEANS Home-state vs out-of-state win rate. Gym-distance buckets coming once gyms are geocoded.

STATE FOOTPRINT 2 STATES · 20 EVENT-COUNTS

IN 60% 12
OH 40% 8

WHAT THIS MEANS Competes most in IN (60% of 20 located matches). State is taken from the venue state on each event — international or non-state-coded events aren't counted.

RECORD SNAPSHOT

17–3
Tournaments3
Matches rated20 / 20
Medals5

FIGHTER HISTORY 20 matches

RESULT METHOD OPPONENT DIVISION TOURNAMENT FORMAT DATE
W SUB Kalob Kurz Adult NOGI / Male / Adult / Beginner / Under 225lbs Indiana State Championship GI Jan 25, 2025
W SUB Garrett Anderson Adult NOGI / Male / Adult / Beginner / Under 225lbs Indiana State Championship GI Jan 25, 2025
L POI Charles Peters Adult NOGI / Male / Adult / Beginner / Under 225lbs Indiana State Championship GI Jan 25, 2025
W SUB Jeff Stemerick Adult NOGI / Male / M30 / Beginner / Under 225lbs Indiana State Championship GI Jan 25, 2025
W SUB Robby Olen Adult NOGI / Male / M30 / Beginner / Under 225lbs Indiana State Championship GI Jan 25, 2025
W SUB Conner Morris Adult GI / Male / Adult / White Belt / Under 225lbs Indiana State Championship GI Jan 25, 2025
W SUB Jeff Stemerick Adult GI / Male / Adult / White Belt / Under 225lbs Indiana State Championship GI Jan 25, 2025
W SUB Jeff Stemerick Adult GI / Male / M40 / White Belt / Under 225lbs Indiana State Championship GI Jan 25, 2025
W SUB Jeff Stemerick Adult GI / Male / M40 / White Belt / Under 225lbs Indiana State Championship GI Jan 25, 2025
L REF Nathaniel Canales Adult GI / Male / Adult / White Belt / Under 225lbs Indianapolis Fall Championship GI Oct 5, 2024
W POI Jonathon Allender Adult GI / Male / Adult / White Belt / Under 225lbs Indianapolis Fall Championship GI Oct 5, 2024
L SUB Marvin Gash Adult GI Absolute / Male / Adult / Blue Belt and Below / Above 160lbs Indianapolis Fall Championship GI Oct 5, 2024

ABOUT

Aaron Rayburn is a white belt competitor with a 17–3 record across 3 tournaments and 5 medals (2 gold, 2 silver, 1 bronze). Submission specialist.

ADVANCED ANALYTICS

20 MATCHES · LIVE
FINISHING ABILITY 17WINS
65%SUB RATE
Sub 11 Pts 4 Adv 0 Dec 0
WIN RATE BY OPPONENT TIER 20RATED MATCHES
0%NOVICE0-085%CONTENDER17-30%PROSPECT0-00%ELITE0-00%APEX0-0
DAY OF WEEK · WIN RATE
SUN
0-0
MON
0-0
TUE
0-0
WED
0-0
THU
0-0
FRI
0-0
SAT
85%
17-3
CAREER TRAJECTORY · POWER LEVEL OVER TIME 1804NOW
FORMAT SPLIT
GI 85%20
NoGi 0%0