WHITE

Andrew Ellcey

— · 2–4 · 0% SUB

FIGHTER CARD · MONOGRAPH SERIES 01

№ 1485306

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POWER LEVEL
1,541
RISING
RECORD
2–4
33% Win Rate
MEDALS
3
1🥇 2🥉
TOURNAMENTS
3
6 matches
OFFICIAL PROFILES Smoothcomp

PERFORMANCE PATTERNS

6 MATCHES ANALYZED
AM vs PM WIN RATE
0%AM0-033%PM2-4

Performs 33% better in afternoon brackets.

DAYS REST → WIN RATE
50%56d+

Win rate by days elapsed since previous event.

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FIGHTER ANALYTICS

3 TOURNAMENTS

MEDALS

3
MEDALS
across 3 tournaments
1 Gold
0 Silver
2 Bronze
33% Gold Rate

WHAT THIS MEANS 33% of 3 tournament entries resulted in gold.

FINISHING ABILITY

33% FROM
WINS
Submission 0
Points 0
Other 2
0% Sub Rate

WHAT THIS MEANS 0 of 2 wins came by submission.

POWER LEVEL RISING

1,541
Base 1500
Medals (2) +50
Matches (2W 4L) -9
Confidence 50%

HOW WE CALCULATE Cached v0.2 rating. 2 medals, 6 matches. Recomputed nightly. Weights account for federation tier (IBJJF/ADCC heavier than weekly local meets) and recency (last 12 months full weight, decaying to 0.4 at 36 months+).

FEDERATION SPLIT 1 ORG

SC 33% 2–4

WHAT THIS MEANS Win rates per federation. Need 3+ matches per org for a calibrated comparison.

TRAVEL IMPACT HOME vs AWAY

Home gym state unknown — travel split needs a gym on file.

WHAT THIS MEANS Home-state vs out-of-state win rate. Gym-distance buckets coming once gyms are geocoded.

STATE FOOTPRINT 1 STATE · 4 EVENT-COUNTS

ND 100% 4

WHAT THIS MEANS Competes most in ND (100% of 4 located matches). State is taken from the venue state on each event — international or non-state-coded events aren't counted.

RECORD SNAPSHOT

2–4
Tournaments3
Matches rated6 / 6
Medals3

FIGHTER HISTORY 6 matches

RESULT METHOD OPPONENT DIVISION TOURNAMENT FORMAT DATE
L REF Matt Forster Gi / White Belt Novice / 136-145 lbs / 18+ Years / Male Submission Challenge Fargo, ND September 7th , 2024 GI Sep 7, 2024
L SUB Breckin Spinks Gi / White Belt Novice / 136-145 lbs / 18+ Years / Male Submission Challenge Fargo, ND September 7th , 2024 GI Sep 7, 2024
W Roman Cruz Gi / White Belt / 136-145 lbs / 18+ Years / Male Submission Challenge Bismarck, ND June 29th 2024 GI Jun 29, 2024
W Antonio Giovannitti Gi / White Belt / 136-145 lbs / 18+ Years / Male Submission Challenge Bismarck, ND June 29th 2024 GI Jun 29, 2024
L SUB Jesse Hellinger Gi Absolute / Male / White belt Submission Challenge Fargo April 20th, 2024 GI Apr 20, 2024
L SUB Robert Douglas Gi / White Belt / 146-155 lbs / 18+ Years / Male Submission Challenge Fargo April 20th, 2024 GI Apr 20, 2024

ABOUT

Andrew Ellcey is a white belt competitor with a 2–4 record across 3 tournaments and 3 medals (1 gold, 0 silver, 2 bronze). Points-and-positioning competitor.

ADVANCED ANALYTICS

6 MATCHES · LIVE
FINISHING ABILITY 2WINS
0%SUB RATE
Sub 0 Pts 0 Adv 0 Dec 0
WIN RATE BY OPPONENT TIER 6RATED MATCHES
0%NOVICE0-033%CONTENDER2-40%PROSPECT0-00%ELITE0-00%APEX0-0
DAY OF WEEK · WIN RATE
SUN
0-0
MON
0-0
TUE
0-0
WED
0-0
THU
0-0
FRI
0-0
SAT
33%
2-4
CAREER TRAJECTORY · POWER LEVEL OVER TIME 1541NOW
FORMAT SPLIT
GI 33%6
NoGi 0%0