BLUE · MASTER-1-30-34

Justin Bay

— · 6–4 · 83% SUB

FIGHTER CARD · MONOGRAPH SERIES 01

№ 1649542

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POWER LEVEL
1,629
RISING
RECORD
6–4
60% Win Rate
MEDALS
3
1🥇 1🥈 1🥉
TOURNAMENTS
2
10 matches
OFFICIAL PROFILES Smoothcomp

PERFORMANCE PATTERNS

10 MATCHES ANALYZED
AM vs PM WIN RATE
0%AM0-060%PM6-4

Performs 60% better in afternoon brackets.

DAYS REST → WIN RATE
50%14-27d

Win rate by days elapsed since previous event.

Are you this athlete? Log your training data to see how your sleep, fatigue, and recovery correlate with these results — private to you only.

FIGHTER ANALYTICS

2 TOURNAMENTS

MEDALS

3
MEDALS
across 2 tournaments
1 Gold
1 Silver
1 Bronze
50% Gold Rate

WHAT THIS MEANS 50% of 2 tournament entries resulted in gold. Sample is small — comparison to peers will appear once more events are logged.

FINISHING ABILITY

60% FROM
WINS
Submission 5
Points 1
Other 0
83% Sub Rate

WHAT THIS MEANS 5 of 6 wins came by submission — elite finishing rate.

POWER LEVEL RISING

1,629
Base 1500
Medals (3) +91
Matches (6W 4L) +38
Confidence 83%

HOW WE CALCULATE Cached v0.2 rating. 3 medals, 10 matches. Recomputed nightly. Weights account for federation tier (IBJJF/ADCC heavier than weekly local meets) and recency (last 12 months full weight, decaying to 0.4 at 36 months+).

BRACKET STYLE PERFORMANCE BY FORMAT

SINGLE ELIM 60% 6/10

WHAT THIS MEANS Round-robin formats give more matches but easier brackets; single-elim is one mistake from elimination. Compare to find their best stage.

RULESET ADAPTATION ACROSS POINT/SUB SYSTEMS

IBJJF POINTS 60% 6/10

WHAT THIS MEANS Win rate by ruleset. Top submission per ruleset hints at the athlete's go-to attack.

FEDERATION SPLIT 2 ORGS

FUJI 67% 4–2
SC 50% 2–2

WHAT THIS MEANS 67% under FUJI rules, 50% under SC.

TRAVEL IMPACT HOME vs AWAY

Home gym state unknown — travel split needs a gym on file.

WHAT THIS MEANS Home-state vs out-of-state win rate. Gym-distance buckets coming once gyms are geocoded.

STATE FOOTPRINT 1 STATE · 10 EVENT-COUNTS

MO 100% 10

WHAT THIS MEANS Competes most in MO (100% of 10 located matches). State is taken from the venue state on each event — international or non-state-coded events aren't counted.

RECORD SNAPSHOT

6–4
Tournaments2
Matches rated10 / 10
Medals3

FIGHTER HISTORY 10 matches

RESULT METHOD OPPONENT DIVISION TOURNAMENT FORMAT DATE
L SUB Kole Kalbfleisch No Gi / Blue Belt / 30-35 Years old (Masters 1) / 196-205 lbs / Male Submission Challenge Branson, MO March 8th , 2025 GI Mar 8, 2025
L SUB Daniel Miller No Gi / Blue Belt / 30-35 Years old (Masters 1) / 196-205 lbs / Male Submission Challenge Branson, MO March 8th , 2025 GI Mar 8, 2025
W SUB Piet Munnik Gi / White Belt / 18+ Years / 196-205 lbs / Male Submission Challenge Branson, MO March 8th , 2025 GI Mar 8, 2025
W SUB Michael Watson Gi / White Belt / 18+ Years / 196-205 lbs / Male Submission Challenge Branson, MO March 8th , 2025 GI Mar 8, 2025
W SUB Tyson Melvin Adult NOGI / Male / M40 / Beginner / Under 210lbs Missouri State Championships GI Feb 15, 2025
W SUB Paul Koepke Adult NOGI / Male / M40 / Beginner / Under 210lbs Missouri State Championships GI Feb 15, 2025
L POI Matt Crull Adult NOGI / Male / M40 / Beginner / Under 210lbs Missouri State Championships GI Feb 15, 2025
L POI Matt Crull Adult GI / Male / M40 / White Belt / Under 210lbs Missouri State Championships GI Feb 15, 2025
W SUB Ryan Rigdon Adult GI / Male / M40 / White Belt / Under 210lbs Missouri State Championships GI Feb 15, 2025
W POI Doug Bristow Adult GI / Male / M40 / White Belt / Under 210lbs Missouri State Championships GI Feb 15, 2025

ABOUT

Justin Bay is a blue belt competitor with a 6–4 record across 2 tournaments and 3 medals (1 gold, 1 silver, 1 bronze). Submission specialist.

ADVANCED ANALYTICS

10 MATCHES · LIVE
FINISHING ABILITY 6WINS
83%SUB RATE
Sub 5 Pts 1 Adv 0 Dec 0
WIN RATE BY OPPONENT TIER 10RATED MATCHES
0%NOVICE0-060%CONTENDER6-40%PROSPECT0-00%ELITE0-00%APEX0-0
DAY OF WEEK · WIN RATE
SUN
0-0
MON
0-0
TUE
0-0
WED
0-0
THU
0-0
FRI
0-0
SAT
60%
6-4
CAREER TRAJECTORY · POWER LEVEL OVER TIME 1629NOW
FORMAT SPLIT
GI 60%10
NoGi 0%0