BLUE

Aaron Raftery

— · 7–2 · 29% SUB

FIGHTER CARD · MONOGRAPH SERIES 01

№ 1701351

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POWER LEVEL
1,736
PROSPECT
RECORD
7–2
78% Win Rate
MEDALS
4
3🥇 1🥈
TOURNAMENTS
4
9 matches
OFFICIAL PROFILES Smoothcomp

PERFORMANCE PATTERNS

9 MATCHES ANALYZED
AM vs PM WIN RATE
0%AM0-078%PM7-2

Performs 78% better in afternoon brackets.

DAYS REST → WIN RATE
60%56d+

Win rate by days elapsed since previous event.

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FIGHTER ANALYTICS

4 TOURNAMENTS

MEDALS

4
MEDALS
across 4 tournaments
3 Gold
1 Silver
0 Bronze
75% Gold Rate

WHAT THIS MEANS 75% of 4 tournament entries resulted in gold.

FINISHING ABILITY

78% FROM
WINS
Submission 2
Points 5
Other 0
29% Sub Rate

WHAT THIS MEANS 2 of 7 wins came by submission.

POWER LEVEL PROSPECT

1,736
Base 1500
Medals (4) +168
Matches (7W 2L) +68
Confidence 80%

HOW WE CALCULATE Cached v0.2 rating. 4 medals, 9 matches. Recomputed nightly. Weights account for federation tier (IBJJF/ADCC heavier than weekly local meets) and recency (last 12 months full weight, decaying to 0.4 at 36 months+).

FEDERATION SPLIT 1 ORG

FUJI 78% 7–2

WHAT THIS MEANS Win rates per federation. Need 3+ matches per org for a calibrated comparison.

TRAVEL IMPACT HOME vs AWAY

Home gym state unknown — travel split needs a gym on file.

WHAT THIS MEANS Home-state vs out-of-state win rate. Gym-distance buckets coming once gyms are geocoded.

STATE FOOTPRINT 1 STATE · 9 EVENT-COUNTS

IL 100% 9

WHAT THIS MEANS Competes most in IL (100% of 9 located matches). State is taken from the venue state on each event — international or non-state-coded events aren't counted.

RECORD SNAPSHOT

7–2
Tournaments4
Matches rated9 / 9
Medals4

FIGHTER HISTORY 9 matches

RESULT METHOD OPPONENT DIVISION TOURNAMENT FORMAT DATE
W SUB Chaz Sabon Adult NOGI / Male / M30 / Intermediate / Under 180lbs FUJI BJJ Chicago Fall Open GI Sep 20, 2025
W POI Pete Tsafaras Adult NOGI / Male / M30 / Intermediate / Under 180lbs FUJI BJJ Chicago Fall Open GI Sep 20, 2025
L POI Terrence Fox Adult NOGI / Male / M30 / Intermediate / Under 180lbs FUJI BJJ Chicago Fall Open GI Sep 20, 2025
W POI Elya Varda Adult GI / Male / M30 / Blue Belt / Under 180lbs FUJI BJJ Chicago Fall Open GI Sep 20, 2025
L POI Jesse Sneath Adult GI / Male / M30 / Blue Belt / Under 180lbs FUJI BJJ Chicago Fall Open GI Sep 20, 2025
W POI Bill Rajaniemi Adult NOGI / Male / M40 / Intermediate / Under 180lbs FUJI BJJ Chicago Spring Open GI May 31, 2025
W POI Bill Rajaniemi Adult NOGI / Male / M40 / Intermediate / Under 180lbs FUJI BJJ Chicago Spring Open GI May 31, 2025
W SUB Rodel Uy Adult GI / Male / M40 / Blue Belt / Under 180lbs FUJI BJJ Chicago Spring Open GI May 31, 2025
W POI Rodel Uy Adult GI / Male / M40 / Blue Belt / Under 180lbs FUJI BJJ Chicago Spring Open GI May 31, 2025

ABOUT

Aaron Raftery is a blue belt competitor with a 7–2 record across 4 tournaments and 4 medals (3 gold, 1 silver, 0 bronze). Points-and-positioning competitor.

ADVANCED ANALYTICS

9 MATCHES · LIVE
FINISHING ABILITY 7WINS
29%SUB RATE
Sub 2 Pts 5 Adv 0 Dec 0
WIN RATE BY OPPONENT TIER 9RATED MATCHES
0%NOVICE0-078%CONTENDER7-20%PROSPECT0-00%ELITE0-00%APEX0-0
DAY OF WEEK · WIN RATE
SUN
0-0
MON
0-0
TUE
0-0
WED
0-0
THU
0-0
FRI
0-0
SAT
78%
7-2
CAREER TRAJECTORY · POWER LEVEL OVER TIME 1736NOW
FORMAT SPLIT
GI 78%9
NoGi 0%0