PURPLE · MASTER-1-30-34

Natalie Carlson

— · 2–10 · 100% SUB

FIGHTER CARD · MONOGRAPH SERIES 01

№ 750430

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POWER LEVEL
1,557
RISING
RECORD
2–10
17% Win Rate
MEDALS
6
3🥇 3🥈
TOURNAMENTS
5
12 matches
OFFICIAL PROFILES Smoothcomp

PERFORMANCE PATTERNS

12 MATCHES ANALYZED
AM vs PM WIN RATE
0%AM0-017%PM2-10

Performs 17% better in afternoon brackets.

DAYS REST → WIN RATE
0%56d+

Win rate by days elapsed since previous event.

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FIGHTER ANALYTICS

5 TOURNAMENTS

MEDALS

6
MEDALS
across 5 tournaments
3 Gold
3 Silver
0 Bronze
60% Gold Rate

WHAT THIS MEANS 60% of 5 tournament entries resulted in gold.

FINISHING ABILITY

17% FROM
WINS
Submission 2
Points 0
Other 0
100% Sub Rate

WHAT THIS MEANS 2 of 2 wins came by submission.

POWER LEVEL RISING

1,557
Base 1500
Medals (6) +103
Matches (2W 10L) -46
Confidence 100%

HOW WE CALCULATE Cached v0.2 rating. 6 medals, 12 matches. Recomputed nightly. Weights account for federation tier (IBJJF/ADCC heavier than weekly local meets) and recency (last 12 months full weight, decaying to 0.4 at 36 months+).

FEDERATION SPLIT 1 ORG

SC 17% 2–10

WHAT THIS MEANS Win rates per federation. Need 3+ matches per org for a calibrated comparison.

TRAVEL IMPACT HOME vs AWAY

Home gym state unknown — travel split needs a gym on file.

WHAT THIS MEANS Home-state vs out-of-state win rate. Gym-distance buckets coming once gyms are geocoded.

STATE FOOTPRINT 2 STATES · 8 EVENT-COUNTS

ND 50% 4
SD 50% 4

WHAT THIS MEANS Competes most in ND (50% of 8 located matches). State is taken from the venue state on each event — international or non-state-coded events aren't counted.

RECORD SNAPSHOT

2–10
Tournaments5
Matches rated12 / 12
Medals6

FIGHTER HISTORY 12 matches

RESULT METHOD OPPONENT DIVISION TOURNAMENT FORMAT DATE
L SUB Kristina Nikolaj No Gi / Purple Belt / 126-135 lbs / 30-35 Years old (Masters 1) / Female Submission Challenge Fargo, ND September 7th , 2024 GI Sep 7, 2024
L SUB Kristina Nikolaj No Gi / Purple Belt / 126-135 lbs / 30-35 Years old (Masters 1) / Female Submission Challenge Fargo, ND September 7th , 2024 GI Sep 7, 2024
L SUB Kylie Gage No Gi Absolute / Female / Blue Belt Submission Challenge Fargo, ND September 7th , 2024 GI Sep 7, 2024
L SUB Kylie Gage No Gi Absolute / Female / Blue Belt Submission Challenge Fargo, ND September 7th , 2024 GI Sep 7, 2024
L SUB Savannah Warren Gi / Blue Belt / 146-155 lbs / 16-17 Years old / Female Submission Challenge Bismarck, ND June 29th 2024 GI Jun 29, 2024
L SUB Savannah Warren Gi / Blue Belt / 146-155 lbs / 16-17 Years old / Female Submission Challenge Bismarck, ND June 29th 2024 GI Jun 29, 2024
L SUB Savannah Warren No Gi / Blue Belt / 146-155 lbs / 16-17 Years old / Female Submission Challenge Bismarck, ND June 29th 2024 GI Jun 29, 2024
L SUB Savannah Warren No Gi / Blue Belt / 146-155 lbs / 16-17 Years old / Female Submission Challenge Bismarck, ND June 29th 2024 GI Jun 29, 2024
L SUB Gabrielle Welter No Gi / White Belt / 18+ Years / 126-135 lbs / Female Submission Challenge Sioux Falls, SD July 29th , 2023 GI Jul 29, 2023
L SUB Gabrielle Welter No Gi / White Belt / 18+ Years / 126-135 lbs / Female Submission Challenge Sioux Falls, SD July 29th , 2023 GI Jul 29, 2023
W SUB Dayani Long Gi / 13-15 Years old / Grey Belt / 100-115 lbs / Female Submission Challenge Sioux Falls, SD July 29th , 2023 GI Jul 29, 2023
W SUB Dayani Long Gi / 13-15 Years old / Grey Belt / 100-115 lbs / Female Submission Challenge Sioux Falls, SD July 29th , 2023 GI Jul 29, 2023

ABOUT

Natalie Carlson is a purple belt competitor with a 2–10 record across 5 tournaments and 6 medals (3 gold, 3 silver, 0 bronze). Submission specialist.

ADVANCED ANALYTICS

12 MATCHES · LIVE
FINISHING ABILITY 2WINS
100%SUB RATE
Sub 2 Pts 0 Adv 0 Dec 0
WIN RATE BY OPPONENT TIER 12RATED MATCHES
0%NOVICE0-017%CONTENDER2-100%PROSPECT0-00%ELITE0-00%APEX0-0
DAY OF WEEK · WIN RATE
SUN
0-0
MON
0-0
TUE
0-0
WED
0-0
THU
0-0
FRI
0-0
SAT
17%
2-10
CAREER TRAJECTORY · POWER LEVEL OVER TIME 1557NOW
FORMAT SPLIT
GI 17%12
NoGi 0%0